AFL Power Rankings, Week 10

This season, I’ve still been keeping track of weighted success rates. These numbers only take into account offensive and defensive prowess based on scoring success rates. Drives where there isn’t enough time to score at the end of a half, drives where the winning team just kills the clock, etc. don’t count against totals. Neither do special teams, because the nature of bar balls, onside kicks, etc. seem to be more luck than skill.

Weighted Offense:

  1. Philadelphia, 80% scores
  2. Orlando, 79%
  3. Arizona, 78%
  4. Jacksonville, 75%
  5. Cleveland, 74%
  6. Los Angeles, 67%
  7. Tampa Bay, 54%
  8. Portland, 53%

Weighted Defense:

  1. Philadelphia, 38% stops
  2. Los Angeles, 33%
  3. Arizona, 32%
  4. Jacksonville, 30%
  5. Tampa Bay, 30%
  6. Cleveland, 26%
  7. Portland, 26%
  8. Orlando, 22%

Orlando’s best week was Week 1, which means it gets the least weight in this week’s ratings; Portland’s best week by far was this week. Those last two are likely to change, but the current positioning underscores how badly Orlando’s defense has struggled to get off the field in recent weeks.

The total scores, then, provide a general framework for my Week 10 Power Rankings.

  1. Philadelphia, 1.19
  2. Arizona, 1.10
  3. Orlando, 1.02
  4. Jacksonville, 1.05
  5. Cleveland, 1.00
  6. Los Angeles, 1.00
  7. Tampa Bay, 0.84
  8. Portland, 0.79

I put Orlando ahead of Jacksonville based on the strength of their superior special teams play, which has produced eight touchdowns to Jacksonville’s one (although that one was produced by new acquisition Reggie Gray, who scored this week). They’ve also done a better job of winning games, which is what the sport is all about. Cleveland wins the tiebreaker over Los Angeles on the strength of their seven defensive touchdowns to Los Angeles’ three.

 

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